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$2.98 trillion since 2004: Paid out without proof, year after year
Federal agencies have reported $2.98 trillion in improper and unverifiable payments since fiscal 2004, by our count of the government's own dataset. Fiscal 2025 alone added $185.8B.
All reporting federal programs
- Improper and unverifiable payments, FY2004–FY2025$2.98 trillion1
- Of that, FY2004–FY2024 (GAO: ≈$2.8T)$2.80 trillion1
- FY2025 alone$185.8B1
- Programs with error rates over 10%, FY2025191
- Overpayments flagged for recovery, FY2025$77.5B1
- Actually recovered, FY2025$47.8B1
- TANF's error rateNever reported2
- Programs not measured at all████████████████
What happened
Since the early 2000s, agencies have had to estimate how much they pay out wrongly or without the records to prove it. The government publishes every program's numbers in one dataset on PaymentAccuracy.gov.
We added them up. From fiscal 2004 through 2025 the total is $2.98 trillion. Through 2024 it's $2.80 trillion, matching GAO's published figure of about $2.8 trillion.
Why nobody caught it
- The total only counts programs that report. Temporary Assistance for Needy Families has never been included; HHS says it lacks the authority to get the data.
- In fiscal 2025, agencies flagged $77.5B in overpayments to claw back and recovered $47.8B.
How sure are we?
Officially counted as paid in error or without the records to prove it was right. Some is fraud. Nobody has measured how much.
These are the government's own estimates; the totals are FraudBad's sums of the official dataset. Improper payments include errors and missing paperwork as well as fraud.
Sources
- FY2025 improper payments dataset: every program's results, root causes, recoveries and compliance (FY2004–FY2025)PaymentAccuracy.gov (OMB and CFO Council); totals summed by FraudBad · Nov 9, 2026
- GAO-25-108172: improper payments — about $2.8 trillion estimated since fiscal year 2003U.S. Government Accountability Office · Mar 11, 2025
- GAO reports improper payments rose to an estimated $186 billion in fiscal year 2025U.S. Government Accountability Office · Apr 27, 2026
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